After years of stalling, the NCAA was dragged kicking and
screaming into the 21st century this year. For the first time ever, what used to be
called division I of NCAA football will have its championship determined by a
playoff instead of an opinion poll. For
years major college football was the only college athletic endeavor that was
not decided on the field by a playoff system.
Given how successful the basketball tournament has become, you wonder
why it took them so long.
And right out of the shoot the playoff system has changed
who will be the national champion. In
any past year the early-January championship game would have been between
Florida State University and Alabama.
Why? Because the folks surveyed
(eventually augmented by computers, but computers programmed by humans so
pretty much the same thing) to determine the teams playing for the championship
would have definitely included FSU, as the reigning national champion who went
undefeated. Going undefeated is the Holy
Grail of college football, even if it means playing a schedule composed of high
school girls’ teams. They beat only one
team ranked in the top ten, a Notre Dame team that was #5 at the time but ended
the season unranked. FSU had a great
deal of difficulty beating mediocre teams, and didn't beat them by a wide
margin, but they finished 13-0 so they would have received an invitation to the
championship game.
And Alabama? They would have been invited based on
reputation, plus being the one-loss team with the least embarrassing loss. Frankly, I consider them beating Arkansas by
a point a de facto loss, but the standings say they were 10-1 and won the SEC
title, so they would have been invited to the championship game. Oregon and Ohio State would have been
relegated to some lesser bowl game like the Iguana Bowl or the Ducalax Laxative
Bowl.
But a funny thing happened in the first FBS Playoff
semi-final games. Both FSU and Alabama
lost. FSU was routed decisively by
Oregon, and Alabama was embarrassed by Ohio State’s third string
quarterback. So the championship game
will feature two teams that wouldn't be there but for the new playoff system.
This is the way it should be, with outcomes decided on the
field and not based on popularity. Well,
the rankings are still based on the opinions of a bunch of “experts” but it is
as close as you can get. Unlike pro
sports, college teams can control their schedules, and with a single defeat
often derailing an entire season lately schools have been stocking their
schedules with more and more cupcakes. This
also leads to coaches running up the scores against weak opponents to appear to
be better than they actually are.
The four team playoff system has done its job admirably. The two pretenders to the throne have been
shown to be posers, and the two better teams will determine the victor on the
field of play.
This does not mean that if a four team playoff is a good
idea, then an eight team playoff would be better. I am sick of people arguing
that because of a dispute over who should be #4 or #5 or #6, we need another
round. First of all, it is a slippery
slope; if you expand to eight teams because of the dispute over #4, then you
need to expand to sixteen to avoid disputes over who is #8, and so on until you
have a 64 team playoff just like basketball (oh wait, basketball is 68 teams).
Secondly, there has never been any credible claim that a team ranked
lower than #4 ever had a legitimate shot at the season-ending #1 ranking. Someone can do the research, but I’m will to
bet that if you go back 25 years you will never find a #5 ranked team receiving
more than a handful of votes for #1. I’m
not saying that some #5 teams might not have had a punchers chance to win a
game against the ultimate #1, but it wouldn't happen often enough to justify
keeping a bunch of football players out of class for another week.
After all, these kids are students who have classes to
attend. Yeah, right.
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