We now live in a world where the Cubs are champions
What
will replace the Cubs as the epitome of futility? What other Sisyphean entity
exists, now that the baseball fans of Chicago are no longer living under a 108-year-old
curse? Pointing to the Indians’ World Series drought seems
cruel, and 68 (excuse me, 69) years of futility isn’t nearly as bad as 108;
besides, the Indians made it to the World Series twice in the 1990’s, so they
remember some good times.
Game
Seven of the 2016 World Series will go down in history. It didn’t have
the walk-off charisma of Mazerowski’s blast in 1960, or the sustained tension
of the 1991 Game Seven where Jack Morris pitched 10 innings of shutout ball for
the Twins until his team finally scored in the bottom of the 10th. But a back-and-forth game
that went extra innings, had a rain delay, and ended with a one-run deficit for
the losing team, is the stuff of legends.
One
thing winning did was possibly let Cub’s manager Joe Maddon off the hook for
his most controversial decision, to use closer Aroldis Chapman for 20 pitches
in game six despite having a five-run lead. Critics said it would make
Chapman less effective in game seven, and he gave up hits to the first three
batters he faced including a game-tying two run homer. If the Cubs hadn’t
come back to win the game Maddon would have been vilified in the sports
media. Maddon’s continued reliance on Chapman was a sure sign that he had
no faith what so ever in his other relievers, so the Cubs have some work to do
in the off-season. You can’t prove that Chapman’s ineffectiveness was the
result of his stint in Game Six, but the dots must be connected. Maddon also had second baseman Javy Baez try to bunt with two strikes and a runner on third; you only do that with a batter who knows how to bunt.
I
thought Indians’ manager Terry Francona made a mistake by walking Anthony Rizzo
to pitch to Ben Zobrist in the tenth inning. The logic was irrefutable—with
the go-ahead runner on second and first base open, walking Rizzo creates a
force out at every base, and the important run was the go-ahead run, not any
other. That is baseball managing 101; plus, I believe that pitcher Bryan
Shaw is a groundball pitcher. The upside is obvious, but the downside is
subtle. Putting another runner on base gives the pitcher less room to
maneuver, making him have to be that much more careful. If (as it
happened) the batter gets an extra base hit, you are looking at a multiple run
deficit in the bottom of the tenth instead of a one run deficit. Plus,
Zobrist was hitting the bejeezus out of the ball. Playing the odds to
reduce the chances of a single-run scoring but increasing the chances of a
multi-run inning works in the bottom of an inning in a tied game, but not the
top.
I picked
the Cubs to win game seven, mainly because I felt that Francona was going to
the well once too often with Cory Kluber on short rest. Yes, he did well
in game four, but generally speaking World Series pitchers on short rest have a significantly
higher ERA. We love
the narrative of the superhuman pitcher willing his body to perform despite
inadequate rest, but for every time that play works there are other times when
it blows up in the manager’s face (Matt Harvey of the Mets last year trying to
throw a complete game). Game Seven was like that for Francona.
Let’s
face it; by Game Seven it was clear that neither manager had much faith in
anyone in their bullpens except their closers. The Series became a war of
attrition where both managers refused to use their mediocre relievers as cannon
fodder. Maddon stuck with Chapman when he was clearly ineffective from
overuse (because Maddon didn’t trust the rest of his staff to preserve a five-run
lead), and Francona expected Andrew Miller to be lights out even after the Cubs
had seen him enough to start figuring out what he was throwing.
The 2016
Cubs are a super team, or as ESPN personality Tony Kornheiser has been calling
them all year “The ’27 Yankees.” Maybe not quite, but close. They won 103
games, which generally happens only about four times in a decade on average,
but given their run differential and lack of “clusterluck” they were the equivalent of a 110 win team. The only other super
teams I can recall since I started following baseball are the 1975-76 Reds and
the 1998 Yankees.
I am not
including the 2001 Mariners who won 116 games but lost in the playoffs; as we
learned from the Warriors last season, no matter how many games you win, if you
lose in the playoffs you’re nothing. I should also mention the 1970-71
Orioles, which slightly pre-date my having the capacity to follow baseball.
The 1970 squad had three 20-game winners, the 1971 squad had four; plus, great
hitters like Frank Robinson and Boog Powell and great fielders like Brooks
Robinson and Paul Blair (and my pick for best manager of all time, Earl
Weaver).
Will the
Cubs and Indians give us a sequel in next year’s World Series?
Unlikely. But for the first time in over a century, Chicago Cub fans can
hopefully say, “Wait ‘til next year!”
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